With the end of 2009 approaching, cybersecurity engineers as well as cybercriminals are looking to next year to see what the future of internet security holds. Where will current cybercrime trends go and what new ones will emerge? Well, here are a few of my predictions on what virtual mines the Internet landscape will have in 2010.
Emboldened Social Engineering – This should be no surprise to anyone in cybersecurity or who has read this blog before. In 2009 cybercriminals realized that social engineering is the easiest way to obtain sensitive information from users. And while social engineering was big this year, it will continue to grow exponentially next year. Expect social engineers to become more organized and bolder in their methods. There may be more incidents where social engineers visit sites physically to gain trust and information that no software can physically protect.
Social Networking Sites Will Become a Bigger Target – Social networking sites like Twitter and Facebook are only gaining popularity and no amount of security warnings are going to keep users away. Cybercriminals will use these sites to their advantage in two ways. While I believe the sites themselves will become more proactive in creating security defenses, the third party applications made for these sites will have exploitable vulnerabilities. Additionally, social networking site users will increasingly become the victims of social engineering. These sites give social engineers a terrific medium for contacting, communicating with, and taking advantage of users.
Ransomware Will Replace Scareware – Hijacking a users PC and holding it for ransom may seem outrageous, but it’s happening now and proving to be more profitable than scareware tactics that users are now growing wise to. Expect cybercriminals to go where the money is – users would rather pay a small price to regain control of their PCs than go through the trouble of manually removing malware – or nuking their PCs.
Mobile Devices Will Be Hit Hard – Mobile phones have enjoyed their short lives mostly free of threats while continuing to propagate. But now that they have increased in complexity, becoming mini notebook computers, the likelihood of vulnerabilities has also increased. 2009 saw the Sexy Space botnet and the iPhoneOS.Ikee – what awaits our precious smartphones in 2010?
Organized Cybercrime – The cybercrime underground has evolved into an elaborate economy where, in 2009, cybercriminals have begun to network, collaborate, and pool resources for mutual gain. Malware infected PCs and botnets are bought and sold like commodities. I expect this trend will continue in 2010, and it may be the most dangerous prediction. Combating such cybercrime organizations will require the same organization among security experts.
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Organized cybercrime are the biggest threat because they are threaten financial institutions. Much money to be made in intellectual property.
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